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Marco27
Last seen 22 weeks ago
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Rookie
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Archive

2017

2017-07-05 14:25:37
rating 4.3
2017-06-19 09:00:14
rating 5.2
2017-03-27 10:54:43
rating 4.3
2017-03-20 15:30:11
rating 4.6

2016

2016-09-07 09:09:05
rating 5.9
2016-03-14 15:46:17
rating 3.7
2016-01-02 15:51:08
rating 2.5
2016-01-02 15:51:08
11 votes, rating 2.5
Impossible action
my opponent managed to succeed a bb samba action to get overtime and win the game :
(turn 8 half 2) https://fumbbl.com/ffblive.jnlp?replay=805167

probability of success = 0,71% (http://www.elyoukey.com/sac/)

have you ever seen an action like that?
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Comments
Posted by DeathJester74 on 2016-01-02 16:09:56
It is only impossible if your mind is unable to understand its origins!
Posted by grant85 on 2016-01-02 16:37:16
funny really. looks like there were a few things he could have done to make it slightly easier on himself but didnt need the help if he just rolls those 6s lol
Posted by pythrr on 2016-01-02 16:56:04
0,71?

happens ever 120 or so actions. so multiples times per day. yawn.
Posted by harvestmouse on 2016-01-02 17:01:42
Actually the rookies this guy plays, the odds are much less. I agree with the OP, it was nigh on impossible.
Posted by PaddyMick on 2016-01-02 17:30:45
Standard
Posted by Marco27 on 2016-01-02 18:05:12
i know an action that happens 120 or so actions is not impossible at all. the fact is that it happened at the last turn to get the tie and overtime. Have you other examples of such samba actions ? i sometimes saw a 6 pass and 3+ catch and gfis but there you got two 3+ dodges, a 5+ pickup, a 6 pass, a 4+ catch and two gfis without reroll! just insane to me!
Posted by Zed on 2016-01-02 18:17:11
i believe this one is even lower in the rate of success, ttm + blitz -2 D on a blodger with a 6 + catch right behind, and it was done with 2 gfis -)

https://youtu.be/7dt-z4L6HHc?t=5m39s
Posted by Zed on 2016-01-02 18:22:53
No + ag nor tackle on him -) That's the one: https://fumbbl.com/p/player?op=view&player_id=9232954
Posted by Marco27 on 2016-01-02 18:34:05
Thanks Zed! what a TD!!!
Posted by Wreckage on 2016-01-02 21:52:07
It's slightly lower odds than a quad skull.
Posted by Khor_Varik on 2016-01-02 22:42:26
Zed, and your pass half2 turn5 in that match: https://fumbbl.com/ffblive.jnlp?replay=765704
Posted by bghandras on 2016-01-02 22:51:43
It is only impossible if you never try. Once you try, it becomes possible. Unlikely, but possible.
Posted by FRSHMN on 2016-01-03 00:10:24
If you can think it, you can sink it!
Posted by Wreckage on 2016-01-03 03:00:09
More interesting than the question of its likelyness is the question whether this was the most optimum play.