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smeborg



Joined: Jan 04, 2019

Post   Posted: Sep 10, 2025 - 21:58 Reply with quote Back to top

OK - this is just for fun.

A Chorf with +1 AV takes a 3 die block (against, say, a rookie Snot) = triple Skull (a 1 in 216 chance).

Re-roll = triple Skull (1 in 216).

Armour broken (1 in 12).

CAS (1 in 6).

Killed, 1 in 8.

Apoth roll = Killed, 1 in 8.

Now according to my calc (which please check) that is a 1 in 214,990,848 chance (or if you prefer, 0.000000465%).

Is that correct, and can it be "improved" upon, lol?
Jopotzuki



Joined: Oct 07, 2011

Post   Posted: Sep 10, 2025 - 22:12 Reply with quote Back to top

Of course there can be even difficult outcomes, but how much are we willing to put on top? A few dodges and rushes first to blitz the snot? If the snot would be the blitser and needing a triple pow (dwarf with dodge) and then push on the ball and the ball would need to bounce trough several guys to land on to a troll standing on the TD-line surrounded by 5 opponents.

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Kam wrote:
My Flings also disappear when they're blocked... I knew that was a bug!

ThierryM wrote:
CR... The synonym of E-Penis right ?
Veit_Loderr



Joined: Sep 02, 2025

Post   Posted: Sep 10, 2025 - 22:43 Reply with quote Back to top

Make it anything with Regeneration and an AV of 11+, then fail the regen roll too.
Drrek



Joined: Jul 23, 2012

Post   Posted: Sep 10, 2025 - 23:52 Reply with quote Back to top

Veit_Loderr wrote:
Make it anything with Regeneration and an AV of 11+, then fail the regen roll too.


Ah, yeah it should be a Varg with +AV so that it can fail both the apo roll and the regenroll.
Chivite



Joined: Sep 04, 2017

Post   Posted: Sep 11, 2025 - 02:06 Reply with quote Back to top

could also add frenzy for triple skull into dub skull push, into triple skull rr triple skull
smeborg



Joined: Jan 04, 2019

Post   Posted: Sep 11, 2025 - 04:43 Reply with quote Back to top

Cool - thanks - will take all these suggestions into account when I have time!
smeborg



Joined: Jan 04, 2019

Post   Posted: Sep 11, 2025 - 06:02 Reply with quote Back to top

OK, if we add a Regen fail + Frenzy into the mix, it gets quite complicated, so I will have to write things out longhand before re-doing the calc. I will assume Tackle, lol.
ThierryM



Joined: Mar 27, 2015

Post   Posted: Sep 11, 2025 - 10:55 Reply with quote Back to top

I don't know if it is still up to date but one famous coach, Elyoukey, (great guy, I had the pleasure to play agaisnt irl) developped the famous "Samba calculator" !
http://www.elyoukey.com/sac/
If it can help you defy the odds Wink

PS : re-read the site, saw that there is a more up to date version for BB2020 : https://www.bloodbowldave.com/
BB , such a Nerds' game :p Rolling Eyes Laughing

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