Dominik
Joined: Oct 29, 2004
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  Posted:
Mar 18, 2006 - 10:47 |
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Now the Deepwood Junkies have survived the Dwarves without any serious injury, they have a chance of 1/1,5 to win the tourney. |
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FischerKing
Joined: Oct 25, 2003
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  Posted:
Mar 18, 2006 - 12:40 |
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lol, its easy to be optimistick on someone elses behalf |
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Frankenstein
Joined: Jan 26, 2005
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  Posted:
Mar 18, 2006 - 13:05 |
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Dominik wrote: | Here is Dominik's analysis for the Warpstone Open.
Let's start with a short interpretation of the shape and the strengths and weaknesses of every team:
[...]
If I have to name a winner, I'd say: Orkische DIsziplin. |
If one adds all the probabilities of that post one gets a probability of 2.165 overall. That's more than 2 fumbbl cup winners in just one tournament. |
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Splatter
Joined: Aug 17, 2005
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  Posted:
Mar 18, 2006 - 13:38 |
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hmm, that must give my team less then 1/200 of winning, thx for that pep talk Farinroderel! |
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FischerKing
Joined: Oct 25, 2003
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  Posted:
Mar 18, 2006 - 17:20 |
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Well the odds are abstract I guess, but if you calculate it really, do you think 2 winnners is enough (when you take my new odds into consideration) ? |
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Dominik
Joined: Oct 29, 2004
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  Posted:
Mar 19, 2006 - 17:15 |
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Scharfe Biester - Glitz Gitz: 1-2
What a crappy game for me. I failed the first five attempts to pick up the ball on normal weather while he got the ball twice in one tackle zone.
Multiple Blitzes on the ball carrier to get the ball back brought me only pushes or skulls.
I could exploit tactical mistakes of the Orcs in the second half to even out in turn 5. But 9 Chaos cannot stop 11 Orcs in 3 rounds, when neither the pick up of them, nor the pass or the catch fail.
Unfortunately, coach MadTias won't reach the 3rd round: Mighty Blow Stand Firm Black Orc Blocker killed, star Blitzer MNG! |
Last edited by Dominik on %b %19, %2006 - %17:%Mar; edited 2 times in total |
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Melmoth
Joined: May 05, 2004
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  Posted:
Mar 19, 2006 - 17:19 |
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Dominik wrote: |
But 9 Chaos cannot stop 11 Orcs in 3 orcs |
Nice Imagination |
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FischerKing
Joined: Oct 25, 2003
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  Posted:
Mar 19, 2006 - 17:25 |
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Eaven if you had 16 chaos they would have problems putting 11 orcs into 3 orcs imo |
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gandresch
Joined: Aug 02, 2003
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  Posted:
Mar 19, 2006 - 17:30 |
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Good luck to MadTias in the following rounds. He has shown, that even the best coaches on fumbbl can't do anything against luck or stop a 11+3 orc offense with 9 chaos guys.
I hope for some interesting games in the next round and i am so sorry, that the chaos team is out. At least MadTias can claim to be in round 2
Greets,
gan |
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Csonti
Joined: Aug 02, 2003
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  Posted:
Mar 20, 2006 - 10:11 |
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Sorry to inform you, but the match between grep-v's orcs and my undead couldn't be sheduled. Grep-v was avalaible a few nights last week but I couldn't be online in those hours, on the other hand I could play the game during almost any day at the daylight hours but at that time my opponent was at work (me too, but I could handle it ). So we crossed the deadline and got some extra days from Flix to handle the problem. Unfortunately grep-v will work for 3 days in a row and even Thursday is a questionmark for him, altough it doesn't matter, since my Thursday is already booked. So we asked Flix to make a coin toss. Not fair, not good but the 1 week shedule can bring up that kind of problems. |
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Petter
Joined: Aug 02, 2003
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  Posted:
Mar 20, 2006 - 10:58 |
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And it seems the game between KCH and Snorri suffers from the same problem - having only 1 week to play is perhaps too little time?
I would rather see an extension of 1 week than the tournament decided by the flipping of a coin. |
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Melmoth
Joined: May 05, 2004
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  Posted:
Mar 20, 2006 - 11:10 |
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Petter wrote: | And it seems the game between KCH and Snorri suffers from the same problem - having only 1 week to play is perhaps too little time?
I would rather see an extension of 1 week than the tournament decided by the flipping of a coin. |
Me too... And if both coaches show they are willing to play and communicate with each other and the cup founder why not give ´em a few more days? |
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Dominik
Joined: Oct 29, 2004
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  Posted:
Mar 20, 2006 - 11:21 |
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No, don't make a coin toss at the final round!
It must be quick enough if you play on the next weekend. The opponent in the second round will be ready promptly and so it'll be no final delay. |
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Cloggy
Joined: Sep 23, 2004
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  Posted:
Mar 20, 2006 - 11:59 |
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I'd say extend the deadline. Not only to make sure that coaches can schedule their matches for a time that suits them, so they have more fun, but also because a team that wins by coin toss without playing may gain n advantage from not playing, in the sense that they do not lose any players.
These major ranked tournaments need to have all games played to deserve their status. |
_________________ Proud owner of three completed Ranked grids, sadly lacking in having a life. |
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angelface
Joined: Mar 23, 2004
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  Posted:
Mar 20, 2006 - 12:17 |
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Extended deadlines would really help to get that deserved status |
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