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JackassRampant



Joined: Feb 26, 2011

Post   Posted: Mar 18, 2013 - 07:17 Reply with quote Back to top

Jes' some tough love, I think motivated by your concession talk (that annoys me). I wish you a good rest of the season, Smeat! Very Happy

In particular, drop the smack on Connie for me!

_________________
Lude enixe, obliviscatur timor.
Smeat



Joined: Nov 19, 2006

Post   Posted: Mar 19, 2013 - 08:41 Reply with quote Back to top

2 dead, 7 more out, leaving only 5 out of an original 14 (mostly linos) left for the Turn 8 kickoff vs. a full-strength team - yeah, I thought about cutting my losses. Thought seriously.

And, honestly, we both know the only reason I scored was because you stopped pounding on my players, which was something I couldn't count on (and you probably should not have done, since it might possibly, remotely, have cost you a win to a tie).

But I didn't, and thanks for both talking me out of it and not killing any more players. But it was close. Very close.

_________________
Let's go A.P.E.!

(...and what exactly do you think they do with all those dead players?...)
MrNomad



Joined: Mar 24, 2007

Post   Posted: Mar 20, 2013 - 08:38 Reply with quote Back to top

Smeat wrote:
2 dead, 7 more out, leaving only 5 out of an original 14 (mostly linos) left for the Turn 8 kickoff vs. a full-strength team - yeah, I thought about cutting my losses. Thought seriously.

And, honestly, we both know the only reason I scored was because you stopped pounding on my players, which was something I couldn't count on (and you probably should not have done, since it might possibly, remotely, have cost you a win to a tie).

But I didn't, and thanks for both talking me out of it and not killing any more players. But it was close. Very close.


You should have tried this with LRB4 rules. I did with Nurgle. Some games I was fielding 7 or 8 players against some 13-14 player squads. Sometimes some elves did the same thing. Current rule set is much much much more forgiving than LRB4 simply from the standpoint of always fielding 11 players(with the luxury of not caring if they die or get hurt) no matter what from the start of a game. Then you get nice inducements that "you" get to pick not some random inducements that may or may not help you.
JackassRampant



Joined: Feb 26, 2011

Post   Posted: Mar 28, 2013 - 23:09 Reply with quote Back to top

JackassRampant's Week 6 NBFL Power Rankings

Caveat: We're 5 and 6 games in. We don't have any really bad coaches. Anything can still happen, says this Chargers fan. That's why I don't really have any playoff predictions.

Criteria: subjective cocktail of 1) playoff odds, 2) record, 3) team strength. I consider standing and divisional record, as well as coming matchup and what I think is each team's ability to survive and keep winning down the stretch. I don't worry about things like "who would win" or whatever, unless the two teams are scheduled to play each other.

Key: A4 = AFC 4th; ** Division leader; * Winning record at time of posting.

The Best of the Best
1 (A1**): Denver Mile Under Club. This has been a remarkable run, a combination of coaching, development, and luck.
2 (A2**): Indianapolis Crunk. Good coach, great team.
3 (N1*): Green Ball Attackers. There may be a little lingering Season IX favor here.
4 (N2**): San Francisco 69'ers. Nico has an excellent team here, and has an excellent chance to hold onto the division lead.

The Best of the Rest
5 (N3**): Minnesota Wolfkings. I put Minnesota behind Green Ball, because the damage they've taken recently really matters.
6 (N4**): Philadelphia Cheesegles. With a 1-2-0 division record in the books and unbeaten five games in, the Cheesegles are in a fair position to ride out the storm.
7 (N5**): Carolina Black Panther Party. The NFCS is wide open, but Carolina is in the catbird seat.
8 (A3*): Tennessee Titanz. These guys have done well with a tough schedule.
9 (N6*): Dallas POMBboys. The POMBboys are in a similar position to the Cheesegles, but I give the nod to Philly on the strength of their division win and Dallas's slightly harder short-term schedule.
10 (A4**): MonAmi Dauphins. Win over New Angryland means something. Cross-conference victories on bottom-feeders don't. The next two cross-conference games will be the difference-maker.
11 (N7*): Atlatl 'n' Falchions. The division champions can still catch up with ease. At this point in the season, three spots apart doesn't mean much.

They Could Be Contendaz
12 (A5*): Houston Texasaurus. The division champions have their hands full this season.
13 (A6): Pittsburgh Pirates. Pittsburgh doesn't technically lead their division, but the smart money picks them to win it.
14 (N8*): Flashington Redheads. They've won the games they were supposed to win and lost the games they were supposed to lose. We'll see who they are in the next two weeks.
15 (A7*): Buffalo Billy Goats Gruff. Two division contests a-comin'. A lot can happen.
16 (A8): New York Jetz. They can take Buffalo, so I can't think to rate them lower.
17 (A9): San Dogo Chompers. The Chompers have a good chance to pick up a wildcard spot, but this is really the highest rating for a team that I don't rate a fair shot to win its division.
18 (A10*): Fangsas City Chiefs. Like Buffalo vs. New York, the Chompers vs. the Chiefs is a grab-bag. The two teams are neck-and-neck, but they're both a mile under Denver, so the, uh, stakes are lower.
19 (N9): Seattle Unhawks. Off to a slow start, they're building and building.
20 (A11**): Cleviland Dark Browns. The "division leaders" have taken a terrible beating. Still, it's a soft division and they hold a head-to-head win over Pittsburgh.
21 (N10): New Khemri Giants. These bruisers look to play spoiler in a tightly-contested NFCE.
22 (N11): St. Louis Lambs. This is a real dark-horse team. I don't know where to put them. I suspect that's exactly where Garnak wants to be right now.
23 (A12): New Angryland Bulltrots. Licker took a bad beating last season, but the AFC Champ has a good shot at recovering, with a "soft" game against Chicago and then a divisional contest to close out the series.
24 (N12): Nawlins Angst. So much for champions. Never count Brasky out. 1-1-3 and a distant 3rd place a third of the way in is not where he wants to be, though.

Playin' Fer Pride
25 (A13): Baltimorc Waaahgvens: They're getting better. Don't look now, but this isn't a basement team! They could even contend for the division title, but I think third place is more likely.
26 (N13): Hashut Bay Privateers!. This team will contend next season.
27 (A15): Oakland Elf Raiders. They'll bounce back from an awful start, but maybe not in time to contend for the playoffs.
28 (A14): Sandcinnati Bengals. I trust Mr_Foulscumm to right the ship somewhat. Even when that happens, it's still gonna be a Khemri team. They're not gonna win a lot, but they are dangerous.
29 (N14): Detroilet Sewer Lions. Nobody thought these guys would be good as an expansion team. They will keep getting better, though.
30 (N15): Aryzona Cardinalz. This team is beat to snot, but if I had to pick one bottom-feeding team to... okay, well, maybe not. They'll get better, how about that?
31 (N16): Chicago Blitz. This may be a long season for Loraxwolfsbane,but Amazons are resilient, and the losses are getting closer. Chicago's not done yet!
32 (A16): Jacksonville Pactuars. These things happen. Ritzi will pull it out: some of these games have been close. But at 0-0-5, it's hard not to rank them at the bottom.

Notes: Top 2 are AFC, but the next five are all NFC. After that, they even out pretty fast. I think probably one bottom-feeding team will actually make the playoffs, and only maybe seven of the top ten. I almost couldn't tell you who, except that the Crunk and the Mile Under Club will probably take at least one of the AFC bye spots, and the NFC East and AFC South have a good shot at providing at least one wildcard apiece.

I love how I just can't figure out how to keep either of last season's SB teams out of the bottom 10! I tried....

_________________
Lude enixe, obliviscatur timor.


Last edited by JackassRampant on Mar 29, 2013; edited 2 times in total
JackassRampant



Joined: Feb 26, 2011

Post   Posted: Mar 29, 2013 - 01:12 Reply with quote Back to top

So, a divisional breakdown of my rankings. Top 5 in blue, next 5 in green, bottom 5 in red, next 5 in orange.

NFCE: 6, 9, 14, 21. Mean 12.5, median 11.5.
AFCS: 2, 8, 12, 32. Mean 13.5, median 10.
AFCW: 1, 17, 18, 27. Mean 15.75, median 17.5.
AFCE: 10, 15, 16, 23. Mean 16, median 15.5.
NFCN: 3, 5, 29, 31. Mean 17, median 17.
NFCS: 7, 11, 24, 26. Mean 17, median 17.5.
NFCW: 4, 19, 22, 30. Mean 18.75, median 20.5.
AFCN: 13, 20, 25, 28. Mean 21.5, median 22.5.[/b]

_________________
Lude enixe, obliviscatur timor.
JackassRampant



Joined: Feb 26, 2011

Post   Posted: Mar 29, 2013 - 02:50 Reply with quote Back to top

The 10 most entertaining looking remaining matchups:
1. Car/Den: The last chance for anyone to stop the Mile Under Club, and the best chance for the Black Panthers to separate themselves from the rest of their division.
2. Atl/NO: Division contests are always good ones, and this may be Brasky's best shot at climbing out of the basement. If the Falchions want to win the division, they too need this game.
3. Buf/NYJ: The last goat standing may carry the day.
4. MA/GB: High-functioning mobility teams face off in what's sure to be an exciting contest.
5. MA/Min: More of a stylefight, this one has the potential to be just as good, or a total snoozer.
6. FC/SDG: Divisional challenge for position going into the second series. The loser isn't "out" of the playoffs, but the winner has a gentler hill to climb by far.
7. Dal/Fla: Division rivals could be playing for a title or wildcard here. Expect a bashfest, as both teams like to go aggro.
8. Ten/StL: Two solid but beatable teams with very different styles. This could get interesting.
9. Jac/Ary: This may or may not be entertaining to watch, but the losing team could be drafting pretty early.
10. NKG/Fla: Another gnarly-looking divisional contest, this one could play heavily into the fate of either or both teams.

_________________
Lude enixe, obliviscatur timor.
Smeat



Joined: Nov 19, 2006

Post   Posted: Mar 29, 2013 - 11:15 Reply with quote Back to top

Quote:
20 (A11**): Cleviland Dark Browns. The "division leaders" have taken a terrible beating...

5 Players and 33 spp out in 5 games, plus -stat on 2 of 3 expansion draftees... yep, I'd say that's accurate. Embarassed

But "elves can do anything" - from pull out a miracle win to die in a big heap, or even both at once. With Khemri and Pomboys coming up, we'll just have see!

_________________
Let's go A.P.E.!

(...and what exactly do you think they do with all those dead players?...)
JackassRampant



Joined: Feb 26, 2011

Post   Posted: Mar 29, 2013 - 13:29 Reply with quote Back to top

Glad I could help: 21 of those dead SPP were me. Razz Now, beat them Khemri and POMBboys up for me! Smile

On another note, I think I've fallen out of my own top half with that disastrous showing against Dallas... at least we got the blood flowing, with 5 kills in the last 4 games.

_________________
Lude enixe, obliviscatur timor.
JackassRampant



Joined: Feb 26, 2011

Post   Posted: Apr 03, 2013 - 01:57 Reply with quote Back to top

Next full ranking update comes at midseason. I'll also have my 8 Premature Playoff Picks in each conference. It's still too soon to pick just six.
* 4 bye teams
* 4 division champs
* 0-4 potential division upsets
* 4-8 wildcard contenders

_________________
Lude enixe, obliviscatur timor.
robocoyote



Joined: Oct 19, 2010

Post   Posted: Apr 03, 2013 - 02:02 Reply with quote Back to top

Just pencil Denver in for a bye
ryanfitz



Joined: Mar 24, 2009

Post   Posted: Apr 03, 2013 - 03:04 Reply with quote Back to top

Pencil Denver in for the biggest collapse ever and to get a high draft pick
JackassRampant



Joined: Feb 26, 2011

Post   Posted: Apr 04, 2013 - 08:56 Reply with quote Back to top

Watchability rankings for the rest of Week 7

Glue Your Eyes to the Monitor
* Mon Ami Dauphins vs Green Ball Attackers. When the postseason comes around and the loser of this match doesn't get a bye....
* Nawlins Angst vs Atlatl 'n' Falchions. This is for second place in the NFCS, and probably has postseason implications.
* Tennessee Titanz vs St. Louis Lambs. Cross-conference bash-on-speed match between two wildcard contenders.

Better Than Reality TV
* Hashut Bay Privateers vs Oakland Elf Raiders. This fun stylefight is for the right to not be in my bottom five on power rankings. This is the lowest ranking game that I don't think has a clear favorite.
* Dallas POMBboys vs Cleviland Dark Browns. This could be a rout, or it could have real playoff implications. A Cleviland upset would be good for Philly and bad for Pittsburgh.
* Seattle Unhawks vs Aryzona Cardinalz. Division fight. The favored Unhawks need this game. For the Cardinalz, all they can really do is make Seattle's hill a little steeper. Still, that's something.

Better Than a Root Canal
* Philadelphia Cheesegles vs Baltimorc Waaaghvens. Those Rats, they ain't what they used to be, but Relezite, he is a wily one, and has just too many tools for a near-expansion team.
* New York Jets vs Chicago Blitz. Cross-conference game between a contender and a struggling team. They're Amazons, though, so anything can happen.
* Indianapolis Crunk vs Jacksonville Pactuars. This just isn't Jacksonville's year. Indy, that's a different story. This would be a nice feather in the cap for the Pact, a chance to play spoiler in a bad year.

_________________
Lude enixe, obliviscatur timor.
Smeat



Joined: Nov 19, 2006

Post   Posted: Apr 04, 2013 - 09:42 Reply with quote Back to top

robocoyote wrote:
Just pencil Denver in for a bye
ryanfitz wrote:
Pencil Denver in for the biggest collapse ever and to get a high draft pick

<looks at the schedule... throws out all his pens, sharpens a lot of pencils for the 2nd half of the season>

_________________
Let's go A.P.E.!

(...and what exactly do you think they do with all those dead players?...)
Smeat



Joined: Nov 19, 2006

Post   Posted: Apr 07, 2013 - 01:52 Reply with quote Back to top

Hey sportsfans, Howie Duyn here... This just in... dateline, Cleviland...
    We survived the POMBoys and all we got was this stupid bandage.
While rats and zons doubly-decimated the Dark Browns, they have survived both New Khemri and now the POMBoys with barely a scratch, and, altho' it may be damning with faint praise, things are not looking completely bleak for the second half of the season!

Atlho' they lose 1-2, the Darks acquitted themselves more than adequately for most of the game, even threatening a defensive steal several times, once actually knocking the ball loose for a couple turns as both teams scrambled to (re)gain control for the winning score - but the ball had a game plan of its own, and with 2 turns to go the significantly stronger 'Boys screened the ball, and dodging past to the ball just wasn't in the cards today for the DElfs, as snakes bit them again and again.

Grats to Coach Ex-Convict, who certainly seems on track to lead his team to the playoffs.

_________________
Let's go A.P.E.!

(...and what exactly do you think they do with all those dead players?...)
JackassRampant



Joined: Feb 26, 2011

Post   Posted: Apr 08, 2013 - 22:03 Reply with quote Back to top

Very premature playoff projections... looks like we have a simple conference and a complicated conference.
Edited... sorry, Duder. Was looking down my list and went right over you, I don't know how. I have you ahead of Tennessee in the power rankings, but lower in ultimate seeding, as Garnak's team is still improving.

AFC
Bye: Denver, Indy.
Division: Pittsburgh, NY Jetz.
Wildcard: Tennessee, Houston.
In the Hunt: Mon Ami, Buffalo, San Dogo, Fangsas City, Cleviland.
Upsets: There's no drama at the top, except maybe who gets which bye. Mon Ami, NYJ, and Buffalo are so even that I have no idea: the listed teams are little more than placeholders for any of the three. Cleviland could take the AFCN from Pittsburgh. In a fair world, the wildcards will both belong in the AFCS, but I think the AFCE teams have a chance to steal a spot, or spoil one for Cleviland, San Dogo, or Fangsas City (whichever of those emerges: my money's on SD, but I think they'll join Flashington and Carolina in the bridesmaid pool).

NFC
Bye: Green Bay, Dallas.
Division: Atlatl, San Francisco.
Wildcard: Minnesota, Philadelphia.
In the Hunt: Carolina, Flashington, Seattle, Nawlins.
Upsets: Seattle could easily take the NFCW instead of San Francisco: with a soft schedule, the loser of this race could capitalize on a Philly/Dallas slide or a win over Minnesota. Philly could take NFCE from Dallas, effectively trading places. Minnesota could win the NFC North and probably take a bye, which would likely leave Green Ball in the wildcard. Carolina could take NFCS instead of Atlatl, and could possibly take a bye, even: this would probably kill Atlatl's wildcard hopes in the process, but not necessarily. I don't think any team but Philly, Minn, or Carolina could sneak into any bye round at this point. Atlatl is more likely to take the NFCS, but would probably be stuck at #3 seed. Philadelphia and Dallas in particular will have a lot of opportunities to cough up a playoff spot to Flashington, Seattle, or one of the NFCS teams. Flashington would have to go on a rampage to get a playoff spot, but a couple lucky wins and it's easy to see. A rampage alone isn't enough for Nawlins: they need a lot of help to go with it.

Predicted Playoff Bridesmaids (winning teams that miss the postseason in favor of inferior opposition): Mon Ami (or whoever comes in second in AFCE), Carolina, Flashington, San Dogo (in rough order of screwed-ed-ness).

_________________
Lude enixe, obliviscatur timor.


Last edited by JackassRampant on Apr 09, 2013; edited 2 times in total
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