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Peter_Thorpe



Joined: Oct 08, 2005

Post   Posted: Aug 26, 2007 - 02:19 Reply with quote Back to top

Final 16 Odds Posted, Enjoy!

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runreallyfast



Joined: Sep 08, 2006

Post   Posted: Aug 26, 2007 - 14:07 Reply with quote Back to top

I would put some money on my skinks at 500-1.

I mean, really! Sure, we are the worst race left in the tournament, but I don't find it hard to imagine us getting lucky and beating 10 elves. I'm not even sure I have to be lucky - we might win a best of 3 against them. I think we're 50-50.

The orcs we would likely have to face after that might be harder, but we only have to get lucky once to win that one. I would expect to win it once in a while, say one game in three or so.

After that a match against, in my opinion, a norse team that has just played a khemri team, which might be unwinnable. On the other hand, it might be a match against a khemri team that has just played a norse team; and khemri are slow and sometimes fail to pick up the ball. Skinks can beat slow. I think I'd be the favorite to win that one. Even if it's the norse, I might manage to beat a team with 7 players if the khemri can do their job.

So I would give me a decent chance, say 1 in 15 or so, of getting to the final.

At which point all I would need to have a chance is to not play a dwarf team.
Peter_Thorpe



Joined: Oct 08, 2005

Post   Posted: Aug 26, 2007 - 21:34 Reply with quote Back to top

thats what i mean, the odds arent for the final, there for the whole tournament, chances are you will face at least one of the 2 dwarf teams left

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Peter_Thorpe



Joined: Oct 08, 2005

Post   Posted: Aug 29, 2007 - 01:04 Reply with quote Back to top

2 teams out, ive put those in bold/red, and altered the 2 winners odds based on there chance outlook now

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gildor_inglorion



Joined: Oct 13, 2003

Post   Posted: Oct 01, 2007 - 16:56 Reply with quote Back to top

hiho

semis between undeads and dorfs to be played tonight 20.00 bb time

greetz

gildor_inglorion

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Go not to the Elves for counsel, for they will say both no and yes.
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