PurpleChest
Joined: Oct 25, 2003
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No one can predict their, or anyone else's next opponent. It is king of the hill format, also known as random redraw. |
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Barbarus hic ego sum, quia non intelligor illis -Ovid
I am a barbarian here because i am not understood by anyone |
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SvenS
Joined: Jul 07, 2007
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 Posted:
Apr 05, 2012 - 13:29 |
 
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Ahh truth forgot about that =) |
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IL-S
SL |
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happygrue
Joined: Oct 15, 2010
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| Posted:
Apr 05, 2012 - 13:36 |
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I'll take those odds, where do I bet?  |
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Hitonagashi
Joined: Apr 09, 2006
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| Posted:
Apr 05, 2012 - 13:44 |
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| PurpleChest wrote: | | No one can predict their, or anyone else's next opponent. It is king of the hill format, also known as random redraw. |
 Can it be changed? I'm quite happy in the opposite side of the qualifier to Malmir ! |
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maysrill
Joined: Dec 29, 2008
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| Posted:
Apr 05, 2012 - 13:48 |
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| SvenS wrote: | Heh its clawpomb CDs then dorf if my orcs somehow make it thru then!
Lots of dorfs in the tzeench one. Here I thought dorfs were rigid and opposed to change! 
Whats up with all the nurgle heretics in the tzeentch one btw?!
Since Im a fluff guy I had to add some to my teams bio.
Underappreciated song IMO. |
Now see...where you find this a little troubling, I think it's great news! The races my CDs have the most trouble with (according to my W/D/L stats at least) are khemri and chaos (no idea why I'm 0/0/2 against khemri). My record against the actual races in the Champion of Tzeentch qual are great.
I don't know if I can get past all your silly stat-freak blitzers, but I look forward to just about anything I'd draw next.
Who will win? 3x Clawbombing (with a couple spare MB and a noob-claw) Cdorfs, or +MA, +ST and +AG crazed orcs? |
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SvenS
Joined: Jul 07, 2007
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| Posted:
Apr 05, 2012 - 13:51 |
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Are you asking me?
My orcs of course!
At least the pregame popularity contest!  |
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IL-S
SL |
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JimmyFantastic
Joined: Feb 06, 2007
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| Posted:
Apr 05, 2012 - 13:56 |
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Surely Tzeentch is the metagame group, worst prize by far IMO. |
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Pull down the veil - actively bad for the hobby! |
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Dalfort
Joined: Jun 23, 2008
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| Posted:
Apr 05, 2012 - 14:06 |
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Extra arms the worst prize? My Throw-ra disagrees.
N.B. The above statement is independent of the fact that I would of course have to win not just one game but the entire competition. |
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maysrill
Joined: Dec 29, 2008
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| Posted:
Apr 05, 2012 - 14:22 |
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| Dalfort wrote: | Extra arms the worst prize? My Throw-ra disagrees.
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My Sure Hands bull throws his (funny-looking) hat into the ring for this one. |
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Enigma179
Joined: Sep 19, 2010
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| Posted:
Apr 05, 2012 - 14:26 |
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| happygrue wrote: |
I'll take those odds, where do I bet? |
Go ahead and lay down your money right here, my "Rich" rats could use a little bit of extra cashflow
Here's the Tzeentch and Nurgle Champion qualifier predictions;
Khost, Nurgle, 1900k vs. Planet Pain Decaying, Nurgle, 2110k
2.02 to 1 against Khost
Dream Of A 1000 Cats, Vampires, 2420k vs. Ize Ize Babyz, Dark Elves, 2080k
1.33 to 1 against Dream Of A 1000 Cats
Armored Deficiencies, Dwarves, 2140k vs. Ura Tool, Dwarves, 2130k
1.19 to 1 against Armored Deficiencies
CD Collection, Chaos Dwarves, 1930k vs. Green Rage, Orcs, 2170k
1.28 to 1 against CD Collection
Anahilistic Brothers, Nurgle, 2090k vs. Skypea Angels, High Elves, 1830k
1.26 to 1 against Anahilistic Brothers
Black Sithi, Wood Elves, 1970k vs. DeathClutch, Chaos, 1980k
1.15 to 1 against DeathClutch
Pro Popes, Pro Elves, 2100k vs. CPombination, Chaos, 1990k
2.79 to 1 against CPombination
Nosferatu's Nightmares, Vampires, 2090k vs. Laget runt!, Lizardmen, 2160k
2.37 to 1 against Nosferatu's Nightmares
Survival in the Box, Wood Elves, 2430k vs. Dancing with the wulves, Necromantic, 1940k
1.12 to 1 against Dancing with the wulves
Hauntedpark Underdogs, Necromantic, 1960k vs. Bat Villains Return, Nurgle, 1980k
1.09 to 1 against Batman Villains Return
Armoured Amazons, Amazon, 1910k vs. Harsch, Nurgle, 2190k
1.24 to 1 against Harsch
And Dalfort, just for you;
Sporting Khan-ri's, Khemri, 1590k vs. Cheese'n'Roll, Skaven, 1640k
8.04 to 1 against Sporting Khan-ri's
At least it isn't 35.15 to 1, I still don't quite understand how that got there. I tweaked the weighting of each factor a little bit today but I'll leave the old predictions the same. |
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The greatest trick the devil ever pulled was convincing the world he didn't exist. And like that, *poof*... he's gone |
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maysrill
Joined: Dec 29, 2008
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| Posted:
Apr 05, 2012 - 15:00 |
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Enigma, have you checked any of your past predictions? I'm just curious, because other than utter noobs playing, I have trouble believing any game is really more than 2:1 in either team's favor.
Results like 30:1 and 8:1 would only make sense if one of the coaches didn't know how to play the game. With veteran (not even exceptional) coaches, I'd lay money on almost anything that showed more than about 1.5:1.
How about this for fun: Assume I take the underdog on anything you predict at more than 2:1. Assume a "bet" of 1 unit, and we'll see how I fare by the end of round 1. |
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Author of Firehurler (Twinborn Trilogy Book #1), Aethersmith (Book #2), Sourcethief (Book #3) |
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propuppetmaster
Joined: Feb 27, 2007
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| Posted:
Apr 05, 2012 - 15:06 |
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lol
maysrill knows that the upsets happen in round 1 but what does enigma get?...1 unit for Enigma as well if he is correct? |
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PainState
Joined: Apr 04, 2007
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| Posted:
Apr 05, 2012 - 15:12 |
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| Enigma179 wrote: | I'm not joking, I'm not even pulling these figures out of my arse, I have a spreadsheet and everything!
Gino, just for you, I plugged everything in and got 1.26 to 1 against for the Tigers. |
Nice!!! Now that is how Box predictions should work. Spreadsheets, calculators, stats and then divide by pie to get your final prediction stat indicator.
Leave milford and his old ways back in Ranked were there is no science in picking. Box is for the math geek predictor were poor Milford would have no clue on how to predict. |
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Comish of the: 
Last edited by PainState on %b %05, %2012 - %15:%Apr; edited 1 time in total |
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Dalfort
Joined: Jun 23, 2008
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| Posted:
Apr 05, 2012 - 15:13 |
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8 : 1 would be right for me then maysrill :p (or maybe nearer to 35!) |
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PainState
Joined: Apr 04, 2007
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| Posted:
Apr 05, 2012 - 15:14 |
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| PurpleChest wrote: | | No one can predict their, or anyone else's next opponent. It is king of the hill format, also known as random redraw. |
Well you can predict all day long but only have a 1 in 7 chance of predicting right for the next round in a 16 team opening round. |
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Comish of the: |
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