CoachLazyeye
Joined: Mar 21, 2004
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 Posted:
Mar 26, 2004 - 18:18 |
 
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I've just joined the league and have noticed that the fatalities are far too high. What is the probability that in four games I have suffered 8 fatalities, 3 of those games saw no bh or si. I'm not a bad player so I'm not setting my guys up to get slaughtered.
Just an observation. I mean a 1 in 36 chance that has happened 8 times in 4 games if far too often to be a coincidence. |
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meanandgreen
Joined: Mar 21, 2004
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Mar 26, 2004 - 18:24 |
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| CoachLazyeye wrote: | I've just joined the league and have noticed that the fatalities are far too high. What is the probability that in four games I have suffered 8 fatalities, 3 of those games saw no bh or si. I'm not a bad player so I'm not setting my guys up to get slaughtered.
Just an observation. I mean a 1 in 36 chance that has happened 8 times in 4 games if far too often to be a coincidence. |
it's called BLOOD bowl, not elfbowl; it's not supposed to be safe!!! |
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BloodbasherMasher
Joined: Aug 02, 2003
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Mar 26, 2004 - 18:26 |
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Well my halflings suffered 9 badly hurts, 1 serious injury and NO deaths one game so im not complaining. |
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MixX
Joined: Aug 02, 2003
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Mar 26, 2004 - 18:27 |
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BadMrMojo
Joined: Aug 02, 2003
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Mar 26, 2004 - 18:28 |
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Nope. It's just chance.
Over your first 3 games, the total results of all the casualty rolls have been 8 BH, 1 SI, and 2 RIP on 11 CAS total. Average rolls for 12 CAS would be 6 / 4 / 2. As it is, your matches are actually doing slightly better than average (if 2 of your BHs had been SIs, then you'd be dead on average). |
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Nenar79
Joined: Dec 24, 2003
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Mar 26, 2004 - 18:42 |
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just chance, i suffered more deaths with chaos than with wood elves(which get blocked hard enough) , it's just luck/unluck |
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Xeterog
Joined: Aug 02, 2003
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Mar 26, 2004 - 18:52 |
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Yeah, just love those people who answer a legitimate question with 'It's called Blood Bowl!"
Real helpful answer to the question asked...
Hmm, maybe I'll offer something a little more informative. It's just luck/unluck...supposidely over a very long period, it will even out..but with so many teams in FUMBBL you are bound to have many instances of stats that are way off of the expected value. And any one game can be extreamly off. (I had a 1BH/5SI/0Rip against me recently..) |
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AlcingRagaholic
Joined: Aug 02, 2003
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Mar 26, 2004 - 18:55 |
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Heh... peikster and I had a cfling game where every cas was death.
Z |
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Michael_Warblade
Joined: Aug 02, 2003
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Mar 27, 2004 - 00:41 |
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Ok CoachLazyeye
1. its a 1 in 6 chance to die not a 1 in 36 chance
2. Yeah Death happen quite frequently occasionally but then there are the matches where 8 or 9 people get injured and all are only BH (my favorite matches) |
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Mr-Klipp
Joined: Aug 02, 2003
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Mar 27, 2004 - 02:37 |
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| Michael_Warblade wrote: |
1. its a 1 in 6 chance to die not a 1 in 36 chance |
It is a 1 in 6 chance of dying once you roll a casualty.
From the 1 in 36 quoted, he is still thinking of the 3rd edition injury table. and needs to go download a copy of the living rule book, as a good number of other things have changed since 3rd edition/ |
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Matt_wyeth
Joined: Nov 29, 2003
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Mar 27, 2004 - 04:02 |
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BadMrMojo
Joined: Aug 02, 2003
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Mar 27, 2004 - 04:13 |
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SparkingConduit
Joined: Oct 28, 2003
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Mar 27, 2004 - 04:21 |
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This is kind of like the, "I lose too much" type thing, thanks for the laugh. |
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skummy
Joined: Aug 02, 2003
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Mar 27, 2004 - 05:11 |
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There are what, 600 games played daily on this site? With a volume that large, you're going to see some statistical abberations.
Congratulations - you're one of them. |
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banana_fish900
Joined: Oct 13, 2003
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Mar 27, 2004 - 05:47 |
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| meanandgreen wrote: | | it's called BLOOD bowl, not elfbowl; it's not supposed to be safe!!! |
| pred_dachande wrote: | | This is kind of like the, "I lose too much" type thing, thanks for the laugh. |
Did you guys miss the part where CoachLazyeye said "I'm new here?" Welcome to FUMBBL. It really is a nice community of well adjusted, helpful folks . . . No really . . . I'm serious. Oh come on now. |
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