Quidam
Joined: Jun 19, 2014
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 Posted:
Jan 31, 2015 - 18:46 |
 
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Good evening ladies and gentlemen !
I am Quidam and today I'm gonna proposing you some "Casse-Tête" with probabilities in Blood Bowl.
I'd speak about the match concerning Chaos All-Stars and the Gouged Eyes during the Lustria Cup 2462 !
Remember...
1. At the 26th minute, the Chaos All-Stars' coach command Bork, the team's troll, to block a Black Orc. The troll has a teammate next to him to help him understand the coach's wills. If he success the Very Stupid dice, he will block with two dices. The Chaos All-Stars don't have any more rerolls. A block is considered as successful if the blocker pow without being powned himself.
True or False ?
A. If Bork has Block, he has 5/8 chances to success his block.
B. If Bork has Block, he has 5/9 chances to success his block.
C. If he has Pro, he has 1175/1944 chances to success if he uses Pro everytime he should.
D. If he has both Pro and Block, he has 146/192 chances to success if he uses Pro everytime he should.
E. No answer is exact.
2. The block fails and Bork only push his foe. Rajif, the Skaven, blitz the Black Orc and Pow him. The stats of CabalVision Family HD + indicate that at this very moment the Skaven has exactly 7.9% chances to KO and 6.5% chances to do a casualty. Knowning that the diagnostic of the Apothicary shows that the Black Orc has no Niggling Injury (and not a particulary Thick Skull) and that his AV was of 9, what were the skills of the Skaven ?
One answer is exact.
A. Claw
B. Mighty Blow
C. Pilling On
D. Mighty Blow + Pilling On
E. Only some scrap like Diving Tackle
3. His armor protects the Black Orc and he falls. Immediatly, Fifou the Magnificient, the Chaos All Stars' Gobbo, tries to foul him. Knowing that he benifits of the help of the troll and the Skaven and that he is a Dirty Player, what can we predict about Fifou ?
Laquelle ou lesquelles de ces assertions sont exactes ?
A. Fifou has more odds to KO than to be seen by the referee
B. Fifou has more odds to casualty than to be seen by the referee
C. The help of his partners more than doubled the odds of Fifou to KO the Orc.
D. The help of his partners more than doubled the odds of Fifou to casualty the Orc.
E. All these items are wrong
Fifou finally kills the Black Orc !
I hope that this exercize pleased you, don't hesitate to claim the answers by mail at baptiste.andreani@gmail.com
Cheerio ! |
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Elyoukey
Joined: Nov 30, 2006
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Feb 02, 2015 - 14:30 |
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An ancient slann coach created a Hypnotic Text Magically Listening scroll that can answer those for you
http://www.elyoukey.com/sac/
i believe a lot of coaches use it for training sessions.
welcome in the 25th century |
_________________
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albinv
Joined: Sep 15, 2012
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Feb 02, 2015 - 14:51 |
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I could solve the questions probably if i tried/ cared but really would have no idea how to operate that prob. calculator!
Where is the warp drive on that panel? Nah, i better dont touch it.
Nice post btw. |
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zakatan
Joined: May 17, 2008
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Feb 02, 2015 - 15:19 |
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| Elyoukey wrote: | An ancient slann coach created a Hypnotic Text Magically Listening scroll that can answer those for you
http://www.elyoukey.com/sac/
i believe a lot of coaches use it for training sessions.
welcome in the 25th century |
the ancient slann forgot to add damage modifiers  |
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Smeat
Joined: Nov 19, 2006
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Feb 03, 2015 - 00:49 |
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Headcold atm, so the obvious answer is... moar dextromethorphan.
Mmmmm.... |
_________________
Let's go A.P.E.!
(...and what exactly do you think they do with all those dead players?...) |
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Quidam
Joined: Jun 19, 2014
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Feb 05, 2015 - 00:09 |
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Pro : 2 Dices with Realy Stupid 2+ :
1/6 * 1/2 * 5/6 * 5/9
+ 5/6 * 5/9
+ 5/6 * 4/9 * 1/2 * 5/9
=1175/1944
Block : 2 Dices with Realy Stupid 2+ :
5/6 * 3/4
=5/8
Pro + Block : 2 Dices with Realy Stupid 2+ :
1/6 * 1/2 * 5/6 * 3/4
+ 5/6 * 3/4
+ 5/6 * 1/4 * 1/2 * 3/4
= 145/192 |
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DrPoods
Joined: Nov 14, 2013
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Feb 05, 2015 - 00:12 |
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Errrrrrr..... What? |
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"Gallifrey falls no more"
Do your part! Join the Adoption Agency NOW! |
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Smeat
Joined: Nov 19, 2006
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Feb 05, 2015 - 00:16 |
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+1 |
_________________
Let's go A.P.E.!
(...and what exactly do you think they do with all those dead players?...) |
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Quidam
Joined: Jun 19, 2014
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| Posted:
Feb 16, 2015 - 21:24 |
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Pro : 2 Dices with Realy Stupid 2+ :
1/6 * 1/2 * 5/6 * 5/9 -----> odds to block while failing really stupid
+ 5/6 * 5/9 -----> odds to block without needing pro
+ 5/6 * 4/9 * 1/2 * 5/9 -----> odds to block while the block isn't a success
=1175/1944 |
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