Mr_Foulscumm
Joined: Mar 05, 2005
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 Posted:
Nov 15, 2006 - 03:52 |
 
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| Malthor wrote: | | Despite the hecklers/knockers, there are many more readers who find your post very interesting reading that add great flavour and fluff to the ranked Tournament scene. |
Yes like me! This is great fun... For the love of nuffle, Plorg, keep up the good work!  |
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Plorg
Joined: May 08, 2005
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| Posted:
Nov 15, 2006 - 05:44 |
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---| FC5 | Times | FCNP | TNT |---
Update
Thanks for your support.
Some responses:
| PeteW wrote: | Thanks for the vote of confidence Plorg! Any idea how I get the ball off the Count though?  |
Judging by the Count's picture, I'd suggest buying some flowers, young man!
If that doesn't work, maybe try the suicidal Leaping Wardancer gambit since you have a spare.
The relative lack of things like Dauntless, Strip Ball, and Diving Tackle make it difficult for your team.
However, it seems from your skill picks that your players are more focused on scoring than preventing scores.
If you can control the clock, then you can score one more and be done with it.
As far as weak points, I've already said Synn's Ghouls would be Plorg's first targets.
With your team, I'd reserve Mimic and Thor II as an anti-Ghoul squad to be applied as targets become available.
| Dominik wrote: | | You could conserve your Lizzies quite good, and you were lucky with the +ST stat increase on a Sauri. 3x ST5... tough case. |
| ankkh wrote: | | Yeah! GO Plorg go!!! More picks...and BTW BooAhl's Lizzies look strong to me... Great Coach and great team... |
As for the awesome Lizards (it really is an awesome Lizard team),
Plorg will point out that the past three opponents have had less than 50% luck,
and BooAhl has had the luck advantage in all three games.
Will that keep going in their next game against a confirmed basher team [Undead/Orc/Khemri/Khemri]?
Plorg thinks that BooAhl is already rolling dice on Nuffle's credit and the interest is piling up.
The mobility of the Lizards means that they can outscore basher teams on average.
The developed Saurii and 3 Skink DPs means that they can hit back against bashers too.
Multiple ST3 Skinks makes the backfield unsafe for ball carriers without deep caging.
However, all four of those bashers have minimum 3 Tacklers, 3 DPs, and 2 ST5 players.
Since all but the Undead have lots of Mighty Blow, remind yourself about its effect on AV7 Stunty.
The Lizards will also be giving handicaps to the bashers.
If the luck numbers go the other way that game and BooAhl ends up with 45% luck against the basher's 60%...
Well if that happens I'll wish BooAhl good luck in rebuilding his decimated awesome Lizard team.
Upcoming Game
Sunday November 19
| SideshowBob wrote: | SideshowBob Orc: Famous Streakers (251/228 40k) vs. Melmoth CD: Anguish and Beyond (274/255 40k + Hthark + Wiz)
Will be played at Sunday 15:00 BB time.
Make your pick Plorg! |
Plorg envisions many small slugfests over the field where knots of Guard and Mighty Blow pound on AV9 turn after turn.
The Orcs have some lovely stat increases and their Troll makes me smile,
but Plorg believes the Chaos Dwarfs simply have them outspent.
If the AG5 and ST4 Orc Blitzers niggle out, then it will be a sad sad day for the Orcs.
A Wizard against a BlOB cluster makes a hole and then you have 3 Centaurs in the backfield.
Plorg's Pick: Anguish and Beyond by 1, no OT
---| FC5 | Times | FCNP | TNT |--- |
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Plorg
Joined: May 08, 2005
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| Posted:
Nov 15, 2006 - 08:08 |
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---| FC5 | Times | FCNP | TNT |---
Upcoming Game
Thursday November 16
| mistermurphy wrote: | torsoboy: Communist Party (267/229 110k) vs. mistermurphy: Dead Irate Philosophers (250/252 170k + Count)
will be played at 21:00 BB Time on Thursday.
Bring an umbrella, it should be bloody.  |
The Undead TS advantage is deceiving.
They have 15 players plus the Count, while the Orcs have 15...
plus the cash to hire Morg or perhaps a Wizard and Chainsaw, who knows?
The Orc TS still has the potential to increase dramatically.
They also have a 9FF advantage, which adds up on kickoff rolls.
Looking at the Orc team, they have eight players with Block/Guard/Mighty Blow right now.
Backing that up is 3 DPs and a +AG Goblin for decent Turn 8 TTM potential.
The Undead have 3 ST5 players including the Count,
but since Undead lack supporting Guards the Orcs will outstrength the Undead.
Five zombie DPs will be swooping in on anything green that falls, so there will be blood.
I'll assume that Morg is hired to cover the Count.
The scoring in this match comes down to the Undead Ghouls vs the Orc Blitzers.
Comparing these teams, the Orcs come out ahead.
Plorg's Pick: Communist Party by 1, no OT, taking 1 MNG/RIP
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BooAhl
Joined: Sep 02, 2004
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| Posted:
Nov 15, 2006 - 09:04 |
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I love your PICKS!!
They are good to read. I placed my guards to protect from 1db on the ballcarrier thx to you.
As SSB said: Keep on Picking dude!!
/BooAhl |
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torsoboy
Joined: Nov 23, 2004
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| Posted:
Nov 15, 2006 - 12:24 |
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Erm, I wasn't knocking your pick. I said you came very close. English isn't my mother toungue, perhaps it should've been phrased differently. But please, do continue - it's good to read how other people think certain matchups will end, since I am of course biased myself. |
_________________
The plural of anecdote isn't data. |
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Purplegoo
Joined: Mar 23, 2006
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| Posted:
Nov 15, 2006 - 12:30 |
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Yaarrrrr! A bit of punditry is good for the buzz of the tournament Plorg, keep up the good work. |
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PeteW
Joined: Aug 05, 2005
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| Posted:
Nov 21, 2006 - 18:29 |
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What about the next three QFs, Plorg? |
_________________
"Jesus loves me this I know, 'cos my Bible tells me so." MrMojo - where did you go? |
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Melmoth
Joined: May 05, 2004
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| Posted:
Nov 21, 2006 - 20:18 |
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| PeteW wrote: | | What about the next three QFs, Plorg? |
Yeah go on;-) |
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Plorg
Joined: May 08, 2005
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| Posted:
Nov 23, 2006 - 09:28 |
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---| FC5 | Times | FCNP | TNT |---
Upcoming Games
Thursday November 23
By TR/TS, these teams are very evenly matched.
Orcs are loaded with +ST and Varag, having a total of seven ST4 players and one ST6.
Even so, the blocking game will come down to the three Orc Tacklers against eight Blodging Elves.
Based on Cas/TD records, these Elves are accustomed to taking punishment and yet winning.
This will be a very close match which will either be won by the Elves by turn 16 or by the Orcs in OT.
Plorg's Pick: Ultimate Superheroes by 1, no OT
Sunday November 26
| Smess wrote: | <b>Smess: Stormrider Tribe (Orc, 249/216, 25k) vs Kfoged: Nandorins (high elf, 324/269 + wizard, 30k)</b>
Sunday, 13:00 bb time |
I honestly forgot to post on the earlier Stormrider Tribe/Buffy Episodes game.
Tribe were the favorites based on comparison of their win and TD records to Buffy Episodes.
Having two ST6 players is really cool but Buffy should be winning more games with them.
However they did kill two of the Stormriders BlOBs which may prune this branch from the tournament brackets.
The Tribe now faces the defending champions, Nandorins.
The Elves have a fresh Dragon Warrior who is comically one of the least valuable members of the team.
If this were a full strength Orc team this might be a difficult decision.
As it stands the Elves are heavily favored to win.
Plorg's Pick: Nandorins by 2, no OT
Comparing the W/D/L, TD diff, and Cas diff records, these two teams are very similar.
The Orcs have one MNG blitzer but enough cash to hire Varag, Ripper, or Nobbla.
While the Cas records are similar, this is a matchup between AV9 and regen AV7.
AV7 often loses this matchup but regen (sometimes) lets the team recover for the next drive.
The teams are evenly matched in Guard and DP but Khemri have the ST advantage and Ramtut as usual.
The Orcs have the advantage in Mighty Blow which should help against AV7.
Sadly, I expect the Khemri to win this.
Plorg's Pick: Turniermumien by 1 in OT
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torsoboy
Joined: Nov 23, 2004
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| Posted:
Nov 23, 2006 - 13:11 |
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I have cash to hire Varag, Ripper, Nobbla or a wizard - the last which is very useful vs khemri. I am still in the process of researching what would be best. I'm not much fan of Varag because there are better value players. Ripper is a staple in the Communist Party (I suspect comrade Bolgrot has ties higher up) due to his regenerating ability. Nobbla is great because he ignores dodge (something those khemri seem to have quite a few of), but every time I choose him he refuses to start the chainsaw. A wizard could win me the game - but it's only one shot and won't save my players. I suspect Dominik will win this game as well, but you never know. |
_________________
The plural of anecdote isn't data. |
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BooAhl
Joined: Sep 02, 2004
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| Posted:
Nov 23, 2006 - 16:37 |
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As it seems: 4 orc teams in the Quarterfianls. 0 in the semis! Lets hope Christmas comes early this year...
Great picks Plorg!
BooAhl
PS.
Hire a wizz. Stops a drive atleast if you cant steal the ball and score.
DS. |
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Freppa
Joined: Oct 14, 2005
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| Posted:
Nov 26, 2006 - 14:19 |
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I pick dominiks khemri hands down.. with that luck nothing can stop him  |
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torsoboy
Joined: Nov 23, 2004
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| Posted:
Nov 26, 2006 - 18:26 |
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Ah, the Orcs are out. Well, the Party's over... perhaps we'll be back next year. |
_________________
The plural of anecdote isn't data. |
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PeteW
Joined: Aug 05, 2005
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| Posted:
Nov 26, 2006 - 19:33 |
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Yar! Goodbye green skins!
So Plorg - you need to be quick cos me and KFoged are playing tomorrow!
Woodie, helfs, khemri or lizzies? |
_________________
"Jesus loves me this I know, 'cos my Bible tells me so." MrMojo - where did you go? |
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Dominik
Joined: Oct 29, 2004
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| Posted:
Nov 26, 2006 - 19:42 |
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BTW: Why not play a game for the 3rd place like it is in the World Cup? |
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Gnomes are trash
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